President of the United States, Barack Obama, hailed the
chemical weapons pact on Syria agreed with Russia as deterrence against further
use of chemical weapons. While Syria joined Chemical Weapons Convention, the
administration of Bashar al-Assad resumed attack against rebels, declaring
victory on diplomacy to prevent U.S. air strike. It is unclear whether the pact
will work for dismantling chemical weapons in Syria. What is obvious is that
Obama showed inability of U.S. to achieve the goal he had set and inconsistency
of his diplomacy. The style he took reminded one of shaky handlings of
diplomacy by former Prime Minister, Yukio Hatoyama, who was called “loopy” by
U.S. officials
Last year, Obama drew a “red line” on the civil war in Syria,
saying “a red line for us is we start seeing a whole bunch of chemical weapons
moving around and utilized.” Although there are arguments about the definition
of “red line” and consequence of crossing it, it was clear that Obama
determined use of force against Syria on recognition that “red line” had been
crossed, and then he requested approval of Congress. Now, he is justifying his
restriction as if U.S. threat had worked.
Deterrence might be a key word when a leader defends
himself. After entanglement over relocation of Futenma U.S. Marine Base in
Okinawa, in which he failed to find alternative place and settled in accepting
original plan to move it to Henoko, Hatoyama explained the base is needed in
Okinawa as deterrence. The common elements between Hatoyama and Obama is
justification without achieving original goals. Main reason why both of them
could not achieve the goal was that the goal was unachievable from the
beginning. They simply did not know that.
The critical condition they commonly had was having few
friends. Seeing Futenma relocation out of Okinawa is unrealistic, lawmakers of
his party, Democratic Party of Japan turned their back to Hatoyama. Obama also
faced reluctance of allied nations on military option to Syria, which, for
instance the British showed apparently.
Revealing immatureness as leading party, Hatoyama’s failure
brought a crucial damage on DPJ administration. The world needs to see what
kind of consequence will be brought by Obama diplomacy on Syria. If he failed
in dismantling chemical weapons in Syria, credibility of U.S. diplomacy, and
also U.S. military power, will obviously decline, leaving the fact that U.S.
could do nothing on 1,400 victims of chemical weapons. There would be a lesson:
Do not say empty promise.
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