It was once called the Opening of Japan in
Heisei version. Trans-Pacific Partnership, on which 12 countries overwhelmingly
agreed, rose up as one of the hottest issues in coming election of House of
Councillors. The leading parties sell their policy to promote ratification
process, appealing TPP to be a good opportunity for Japanese economy. The
opposite parties accuse the conclusion drawn by Shinzo Abe administration. Farmers
are determining the fate of both sides.
It was the administration led by Democratic
Party of Japan that started considering participation to TPP. Naoto Kan, then
Minister of Finance and later Prime Minister, led the discussion on it,
resembling that unprecedented free-trade pact the opening of country at the end
of Edo era. So, it is fair to say that Democratic Party is an original promoter
of TPP.
Abe administration succeeded the policy
after taking the seat late 2012. Abe announced participation to the rulemaking
negotiation, which group on Pacific Rim included Japan’s most competitive
counterpart, United States. When the negotiation reached overwhelming agreement
last October, Abe told that he would make efforts to take foreign power in
economic growth of Japan.
Among comprehensive issues in TPP,
including manufacture, deregulation or intellectual property, agriculture marks
highest stake between the leading parties and the opposite. The government of
Japan calculated the impact of TPP on Japanese agriculture to be ¥130 to ¥210
billion of decline. While the government expects the farmers to manage their
production with lowering cost or subsidy, the farmers are frustrated with their
insufficient perspectives.
The Diet of Japan passed a resolution that
demanded the negotiation to protect five products: rice, wheat, beef/pork,
dairy products and sugar. The opposite parties criticized Abe to have violated
the resolution, because the farmers would suffer from the abolition of tariff
in 30% of agricultural products. Abe insisted that he achieved tariff exemption
in 20% of all.
Agriculture has a great significance in
every election of House of Councillors, in which 32 local electoral districts
for one seat each will determine win or lose. In five districts in Tohoku
region, agricultural cooperative organization defied candidates with Liberal Democratic
Party. While the leading parties encourage the farmers to make their production
efficient, the opposite parties require introduction of new subsidy on house-by-house
basis. Votes of farmers may affect post-election politics of Abe administration.