The governments of Japan and Russia
simultaneously announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin would make a
visit to Japan in December. Putin will have a summit meeting with Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe in Yamaguchi, the hometown of Abe. Abe expects to make
closer personal relationship with Putin for accelerating negotiation for
settling dispute over Northern Territory and concluding peace treaty.
Abe has been requesting Putin to visit
Japan. In April 2013, Abe made an official visit to Russia for the first time
in ten previous years as Japanese Prime Minister and received an indirect
message from Putin to settle the dispute over Northern Territory. Advised by
former Premier Yoshiro Mori, Abe proposed Putin to invite him to his hometown
in Yamaguchi, when Putin invited Abe to Sochi Olympic in 2014. But, Russia
annexed Crimea right after their meeting. The dialogue was intermitted.
According to a report of Asahi Shimbun, Abe
demanded United States President Barack Obama understanding on Japan-Russia
diplomacy last February. “I see. It depends on Shinzo,” told Obama in a rough
voice through overseas telephone. Although Obama was as frustrated as
unilaterally hanging up the phone, Abe recognized that he received minimum
understanding from Obama. It was unusual that U.S. President would understand
an important ally to make closer relationship with the leader who promoted
illegal annexation of neighbor country.
On the territory issue, Japanese government
has been keeping the line that “concluding peace treaty after reconfirming
identification of the islands.” Asserting legitimacy of occupying the islands,
Russian government has been accumulating military facilities there. There has
been no progress on the issue these years, while Russia ignored the appeal of
Japan and focused on closer economic relationship with Japan. Looking for even
a small breakthrough, Abe proposed eight kinds of economic cooperation deals, including
longer and healthy life of people, building urban community or development of
Fareast.
It is unlikely for Abe, however, to achieve
a progress in territory deal. Putin has been accusing Japan of demanding return
of all four islands after proposing settlement based on Japan-Russia Mutual
Declaration in 1956, which reconfirmed returning only two islands to Japan, at
the time of Prime Minister Mori. As long as Japan insists on four-island
solution, no breakthrough can see.
In the situation that China is advancing
Pacific Ocean with seeking defense line made by consecutive islands, Russia has
to maintain its security inside Kuril Islands including Northern Territory of
Japan. Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev told that Japan should not connect
the bilateral relationship with Kuril Islands of Russia. There is no environment
that Japan can get a preferable outcome in Yamaguchi meeting.