Against his intention to focus on economic policies, most
audiences realized that he was more serious than ever to reinterpret the
Article IX of the Constitution of Japan for exercising collective self-defense
right. Prime Minister, Shinzo Abe, announced in his policy speech to the Diet
that he would consider changing interpretation on collective self-defense right
after he would receive the report of his personal consultative committee on the
issue later this year. In growing skepticisms against his behavior as a
revisionist, a further step to militarize Japan would invite backlashes from
neighbors and disappointments from allies.
Policy speech in the Diet marks the opening of annual
session and is paralleled with the State of the Union Address of POTUS. On the
reinterpretation, Abe told that he would “consider how to respond to the report
of the Council for Reconstructing Legislative Basis on Security,” while he had
been saying that he would just wait for the conclusion of the council. The
council is expected to report it to Abe as soon as this April.
The coalition partner of Liberal Democratic Party, New
Komeito, has been reluctant to cooperate with the reinterpretation, receiving
anxiety on the issue from its basic supporters affiliated with Soka Gakkai. If
Abe is proceeding to the reinterpretation, New Komeito will have to consider
stepping out from the coalition. Leaders of Abe administration seems to be
thinking that they have nothing to lose by Komeito’s resistance, because some
of other opposition parties, Japan Restoration Party and Your Party, are
showing cooperative attitude for Abe administration on this issue.
Reinterpretation of the Article IX will send a message to
Japan’s neighbors that Japan will deal its security concern with military. Even
how Abe explains the purpose of the reinterpretation as a way to enhance
Japan-U.S. alliance by helping U.S. in emergency of being attacked, Japan’s
neighbors recognize it as paving ways to take countermeasures against
territorial assertions of China or South Korea. Knowing those possible
responses of the neighbors, the United States is very careful not to let Japan
stimulate China and South Korea.
One point Abe does not understand is he is not a person
worth doing that. He has been failing to make preferable environment to do that
by visiting Yasukuni war shrine with his unilateral reason, by missing
opportunities to have dialogue with the leaders of China and South Korea, and
by showing his distorted historiography on Murayama and Kono Statements or resemblance
current Sino-Japan relationship to that of Anglo-Germany in the eve of the
Great War. Analyzing those behavior leads to a conclusion that all he want to
do is just hurling bricks to China, South Korea and “control” of the United
States, regardless Japan’s national interests.
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